Chris™

@ProbableChris

I trade $NQ using statistical models, probabilistic frameworks, and custom tools built based on my market perspective. Creator of

nqstats.com

7.8K followers485 posts readOn X since 2016NQ, FVG circle12 creators here follow them

In short Trades NQ. Streams on YouTube.

Overview

Read from 485 posts, 5 of them between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 29, 2026, about 5 a week. Among them: 21 losing trades or red days, 6 results (all with an image) and 1 trade call with an entry, stop or target.

Markets: NQ
Top topics: Initial balance, London session, New York open, Psychology
Streams on: YouTube

What they disclose

Labels paid promotions

0 of 7 promotional posts marked #ad or as an affiliate link

Discloses spend against payouts

No posts found that state their spend

Posts losing trades too

21 posts show a loss or red day

Posts trade calls before the result

1 post with an entry, stop or target

Shows images with result claims

6 with an image, 0 without

Partnered with prop firms

No firm partnerships found

Posts per week

Last 26 weeks, reposts left out

May 18Aug 17This week

Shaded weeks are before we started reading their posts.

Posts per week
2026-05-18	1
2026-05-25	not read
2026-06-01	1
2026-06-08	1
2026-06-15	2
2026-06-22	8
2026-06-29	6
2026-07-06	3
2026-07-13	7
2026-07-20	11
2026-07-27	5
2026-08-03	8
2026-08-10	7
2026-08-17	4
2026-08-24	2
2026-08-31	2
2026-09-07	8
2026-09-14	2
2026-09-21	1
2026-09-28	1
2026-10-05	not read
2026-10-12	1
2026-10-19	4
2026-10-26	1
2026-11-02	0
2026-11-09	0

How they trade

Trades NQ. Their posts most often mention initial balance (25), London session (21) and New York open (19).

Markets

Posts that name each, of the 485 read

128 posts

22 posts

Methods

Posts that name each, of the 485 read

Market profile

25 posts

Indicators and pivots

17 posts

Price action

13 posts

VWAP

9 posts

Algorithmic

8 posts

Order flow

3 posts

Topics

Posts that mention each, three or more

Initial balance 25 London session 21 New York open 19 Psychology 16 Base hits 16 Risk management 15 Win rate and R multiples 13 VWAP 9 Backtesting 7 Previous day high and low 5 Break and retest 3 Asia session 3 CPI, FOMC and NFP 3

For example

$NQ | 7/29/2025 Recap +4.5R Will be doing video recaps at end of my trading day going forward, instead of posting every individual trade in its own post, mainly just because its easier for me, plusJul 29, 2025View on X

Posts losing trades and red days too21 of the 485 posts read.

…the London High, which had a 77% probability of being broken given pattern #3. Got stopped out breakeven on second half for a net +1R on this trade.Jun 24, 2025View on X …than 1% of my account per trade, it would take an insane losing streak or period of drawdown to blow my account......."but if I risk less I wont make enough".......correct, welcome to trading. TheJul 8, 2025View on X

Show posts that name NQ · 126

Jul 22--NQ Stats Public Indicators-- There are various people that have put in good work to create free public indicators based on NQ Stats content. If you…Aug 20$NQ 8/20/2025 Recap +3.5R Aug 20There has been some very large range this morning. Since equity open, NQ has dropped 400pts to the AM low. While a Noon Curve new PM low may visually…Aug 19The majority of traders are ultimately looking to exploit some form of market inefficiency-statistical anomalies, spreads, breakouts following news,…Aug 13$NQ | 8/13/2025 Recap +4.25R Feb 10Equity open was way to choppy to get a read. Went for the IB long, but highs were met with divergence on ES, ES took the IB high while NQ failed the…Dec 30Focus for 2026 As the new year approaches, I’ve taken December off from trading. I’m easing back into the markets by simply observing it's ebbs and…Aug 19$NQ 8/19/2025 Recap +4.25R

The latest 8 of 126. Search all of them on X

Prop firms

No prop firms found in their posts.

Rules and payouts they post about

Posts that mention each, three or more

Live funded accounts 3

What they sell

No paid products found in their bio or posts.

Results they posted

6 results in the posts read: payouts, passed evaluations and live accounts, in their words. 6 came with an image.

Aug 6, 2026Sep 10, 2026

Image attachedNo image

Sep 10, 2026Says they made +1.5r.Image Sep 8, 2026Says they made +1r.Image Aug 28, 2026Says they made +1r.Image Aug 14, 2026Says they made +2R.Image Aug 7, 2026Says they made +4r.Image Aug 6, 2026Says they made +4r.Image

Learn from them

6 threads and posts where they explain how they trade. The most saved are below.

A post on New York open.

New module added to NQ Stats "AM TBR" - Have been meaning to get this added to the site, just haven't had time. This is time based range data I use pretty much every day as a…

285 saves256 likesJul 4, 2026Read it on X

New York open

A post on base hits.

This is how I trade, if the trade is based on continuation of a trend. Price should retrace 40%-60% of the most recent leg of movement, than continue its direction. Coming out of the retracement is…

203 saves182 likesOct 21, 2025Read it on X

Base hits

Show all 6 threads and posts

Jul 4, 2026New module added to NQ Stats "AM TBR" - Have been meaning to get this added to the site, just haven't had time. This is time based range…285 saves Oct 21, 2025This is how I trade, if the trade is based on continuation of a trend. Price should retrace 40%-60% of the most recent leg of movement,…203 saves Apr 8, 2026I took "Karpathy's Second Brain" framework and catered it to trading, see repo link below. Karpathy's concept was to dump everything you…184 saves Jul 27, 2026If you are looking for some good books on Price Action, Stats/Probabilities or Trader Psychology.....here are the ones on my bookshelf. All…167 saves Dec 1, 2025IB High Break Long ✅ IB low made before high ✅ IB closed in upper half of IB range ✅ Price gave 40%-60% retracement of most recent leg…54 saves Aug 25, 2025Talking with someone in DM's about how emotional factors are holding them back. The best thing I can say on this is that you need to…40 saves

What others say

None recorded so far. This section lists posts by other accounts that name them next to words like scam, refund or banned, once we have read each one. Send a correction.